The fishing forecast for central Florida's freshwater anglers for the second week of November starts out great with ideal weather and a first quarter moon phase but will be interrupted by this fall season's first major cold front arriving on Wednesday, that's if weather forecasts are correct.
As with all first-quarter lunar phases, the early morning feeding migration strengthens daily as the moon waxes toward the full phase - which occurs next Sunday - and with the fall weather being absolutely perfect from today through Tuesday evening, fish will be where anglers like to find them feeding, against the shorelines thriving in rich vegetation.
The weather over the next three days will provide all the fishing factors essential for creating top feed rating numbers daily and when the majority of anglers like to go fishing, which is in the early morning and early evening hours. So if you've been thinking of planning a fishing trip, the next three days will be the days to do it.
Over the past four days or so, wind speeds have really made fishing a challenge; however barometric pressure during those windy fishing days did cause fish to migrate into shoreline break areas more often.
Over the next three days barometric pressure will not change enough to have a negative impact on shoreline anglers as fish will still feel comfortable in the shallows, and this won't change much during the second half of the week, even after the cold front moves in on Wednesday pressure readings will remain near or at the 30 In Hg range.
Therefore the major feeding migration of the day over the next three days occurs from 5-10 a.m. and will have a peak period occurring from 6-8:30 a.m. that will produce a rating on the ten-scale, with ten being best, of seven all three days. During the remainder of the morning and midday hours, the rating will decline to a four to five range at best.
The minor feeding migration of the day from today through Tuesday occurs from 6-10 p.m. and will have a peak period from 6-7:30 p.m. that should produce a rating of five or six but will decline somewhat on Tuesday as the front arrives in the late evening hours.
For the second half of this week, the stage will be developing for a perfect full moon fishing period as water temperatures will drop into the perfect range for triggering bass to enter the early spawning season.
The temperature drop into the upper 60s and lower 70s will cause the larger bass to move into shoreline areas and into the shallows to feed aggressively. Due to the warmest water being shallow, and the atmospheric pressure being high enough to give bass comfort to feed shallow, next weekend should be excellent.
Some bass will spawn due to the week of colder water and it my belief that the superior genetics of the bass population will spawn first and more than once per year. However, this doesn't mean that you can catch these particular bass.
Remember, the genetically superior bass don't make mistakes by striking shiners on a line, much less artificial bait. But you can hope that there are lesser intelligent bass being influenced by the ideal spawning temperatures, feeding aggressively in the pre-spawn mode.
The 'ideal bass genetic' in my opinion displays a characteristic and behavior that feeds aggressively on anything that produces a 'bass food group signature' in the water column, such as one of the several bait fish types, crawfish, crawdads, frogs and larger insects.
The ideal bass doesn't have the intellectual capability to differentiate between a shine swimming on a line and one that swims freely and naturally.
Many anglers including myself, have caught plenty of healthy looking bass that have had numerous hook marks in various stages of healing around its mouth, which is a clear indication that this bass is healthy, strong, and enduring genetically speaking, and can handle being caught without becoming unhealthy in the process.
This is the type of bass genetic that our Fish and Wildlife Conservation Commission should be reproducing in their hatchery.
While there is an argument to be made for taking genetics from a bass of 14 or 15 pounds or larger to the hatchery for reproduction programs and subsequent stocking of our lakes in order to ensure a healthy thriving bass population, an eight to 10-pound bass that can remain healthy while being caught on a regular basis should be the 'ideal genetic candidate' for the state's bass fishery reproduction programs.
Bass Fishing Fact: When a bass angler catches a bass close to or over the state record bass size on an artificial bait or even a live wild shiner, that angler in fact has caught a bass that has made its 'first mistake' in its lifetime.
The reason it made the mistake is due to some type of healthy decline. This bass will not grow larger, and will not experience quality days, as those days are done and deterioration will be the new norm for the remainder of its life.
So if you happen to be lucky enough to catch one of these monster largemouth bass, don't feel guilty about harvesting this bass.
The fact is it will be dead soon from natural causes. Take this bass home to the taxidermist for preservation and then mount it on your wall to display it in all of its magnificent glory. Put the quote on the mount that says, "She made one mistake in her lifetime by taking my bait". Full disclosure here, I have to date, caught seven bass in the 14-pound range with my largest bass weighing in at 14-pounds, 15 ounces.
None of them are on the wall, all where returned to their homes. I'm waiting for a 15-pound bass before I cross that line which I have drawn in my bass fishing standards.
This fishing column and additional fishing information and advice is online at www.FloridaLakesFishingForecast.com.
Dave Douglass is a bass fishing guide and conservationist since 2006 in Highlands County. Website: HighlandsBassAngler.com and BassFishingForecast.com Phone: 863-381-8474. Email: firstname.lastname@example.org.